The 2009 Major League Baseball season starts tomorrow NZ/Aus time with the 2008 World Series winners Philadelphia hosting Atlanta. Although MLB enjoys a relatively small following in Australasia, I developed an interest during my university days watching Sammy Sosa and Mark McGuire’s home run record chase in 1998 when I should have been at class. With my San Francisco Giants only rated a 1.2% chance of winning the World Series my focus will be on managing the Brisbane Bombers in the Kiwi League Baseball fantasy league.
The Brisbane Bombers will be heavily relying on 2008 NL MVP Albert Pujols if they are to have any chance of reaching the playoffs.
The TAB odds provide an implied probability of winning the World Series but with an expected return of 72 cents on the dollar it is far from a fair game.
World Series Winner Odds (NZ TAB 5 April 2009)
|
Team |
TAB Odds |
Implied probability of winning World Series |
|
NY Yankees |
6.50 |
11.1% |
|
Boston Red Sox |
8.00 |
9.0% |
|
Chicago Cubs |
9.00 |
8.0% |
|
Los Angeles Angels |
10.00 |
7.2% |
|
New York Mets |
10.00 |
7.2% |
|
Philadelphia Phillies |
15.00 |
4.8% |
|
Los Angeles Dodgers |
15.00 |
4.8% |
|
Tampa Bay Rays |
15.00 |
4.8% |
|
Cleveland Indians |
20.00 |
3.6% |
|
Detroit Tigers |
20.00 |
3.6% |
|
St Louis Cardinals |
20.00 |
3.6% |
|
Arizona Diamondbacks |
20.00 |
3.6% |
|
Chicago White Sox |
25.00 |
2.9% |
|
Minnesota Twins |
25.00 |
2.9% |
|
Houston Astros |
30.00 |
2.4% |
|
Toronto Blue Jays |
30.00 |
2.4% |
|
Atlanta Braves |
30.00 |
2.4% |
|
Florida Marlins |
30.00 |
2.4% |
|
Milwaukee Brewers |
40.00 |
1.8% |
|
Oakland Athletics |
40.00 |
1.8% |
|
Colorado Rockies |
40.00 |
1.8% |
|
Texas Rangers |
50.00 |
1.4% |
|
San Francisco Giants |
60.00 |
1.2% |
|
Cincinnati Reds |
60.00 |
1.2% |
|
San Diego Padres |
80.00 |
0.9% |
|
Seattle Mariners |
100.00 |
0.7% |
|
Washington Nationals |
125.00 |
0.6% |
|
Kansas City Royals |
150.00 |
0.5% |
|
Baltimore Orioles |
150.00 |
0.5% |
|
Pittsburgh Pirates |
150.00 |
0.5% |
Note:
There have been a number of high profile gambling scandals in baseball that form part of the game’s rich history.
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