Monthly Archive for November, 2008

7 Years Hard Work = Overnight Success

As Rowan has highlighted an overnight success typically requires a long night. Jeremy Liew at Light Speed Venture Partners illustrates this with the chart below based on a Dow Jones Venture One/E&Y Study.

Time from Initial Equity Funding to Acquisition

Time from Initial Equity Funding to Acquisition

This is a great chart for potential entrepreneurs and and investors. If you are interested in venture capital and particularly early stage gaming/app metrics Jeremy’s blog is a great resource.

General Motors (GM) Runway: 350 Days

General Motors (GM) have just released another awful quarterly result announcing a $2.5 billion loss on revenues of $37.9 billion (down $5.8 billion on Q3 2007). Over the last quarter GM burnt nearly $50 million cash per day. Based on a 30 September balance of $16.2 billion in cash, marketable securities and readily available assets GM has approximately 350 days of runway. This back of the envelope calculation is typically reserved for startups not a 100 year old company with a 1/4 million employees.

The current global economic situation will have a significant impact on GM but it is an accelerant rather than the cause of GM’s current woes.

Despite growing revenues GM has lost market share to competitors such as Toyota.

Source: Reuters

Source: Reuters

GM and the US auto industry in general have failed to address the key issues (labour costs, product development and supply chain management) they are facing.

Source: Reuters

Source: Reuters

Resulting in the destruction of shareholder value:

Clusterstock provides a summary of GM’s CEO Rick Wagoner’s performance at the helm including losing $67 billion over 8 years.

GM are in the process of implementing a series of actions to improve their liquidity position by $20 billion by the end of 2009. Despite these steps there are calls for the US Government to step in and ensure GM does not have to file for bankruptcy. Based on the recent bailout of the financial sector, potential job losses and historic actions in the automotive industry it is unlikely GM will be allowed to fail without some type of intervention.

The issues faced by GM are not going to be solved by an injection of capital or tax payer gauranteed loans. Given the track record of the board and management team any bailout will only delay the inevitable bankruptcy, sell off or merger of the US’s largest auto company.